Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE has a 7-point lead over Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.) in a new national poll, with Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.) in a distant third place.
The latest Monmouth University survey finds Biden at 30 percent, followed by Sanders at 23 percent and Warren at 14 percent. All three candidates saw a modest increase in support, with Biden gaining 4 points, Sanders 2 and Warren 3.
Former New York City Mayor Michael BloombergMichael BloombergEngel scrambles to fend off primary challenge from left It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process Liberals embrace super PACs they once shunned MORE, who has not been in any debates but is spending tens of millions of dollars on a self-funded national advertising campaign, comes in fourth place at 9 percent support, up from 5 percent in the previous survey.
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Former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE is at 6 percent, followed by Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy KlobucharHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Democrats demand Republican leaders examine election challenges after Georgia voting chaos Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk MORE (D-Minn.) at 4 percent and businessman Andrew YangAndrew YangGeorge Floyd protests show corporations must support racial and economic equality Andrew Yang discusses his universal basic income pilot program Andrew Yang on the George Floyd protests in Minneapolis MORE at 3 percent.
“With the exception of Bloomberg’s entry, this race looks pretty much like it did six months ago,” said Monmouth pollster Patrick Murray. “But that stability masks the potential for sizable swings once the first contests are held. Iowa and New Hampshire will play a major role in shaping national voter preferences.”
The primary race took a bitter and unexpected turn last week after Warren accused Sanders of telling her in a private meeting that a woman could not win the White House. Sanders denies making the remark.
The Monmouth poll found that 74 percent of Democratic voters say it doesn’t matter whether the party nominates a man or a woman to run against President TrumpDonald John TrumpSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote Warren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases Esper orders ‘After Action Review’ of National Guard’s role in protests MORE, while 13 percent say it is better to nominate a man and 8 percent say it’s better to nominate a woman.
“It might make for great TV, but most Democrats seem immune to the ‘he said, he didn’t say’ dust-up between Sanders and Warren,” said Murray. “Or at least they say that gender doesn’t matter.”
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A strong majority of Democratic voters, 58 percent, said the nominating process should be changed to feature a single national primary in which every state votes on the same day, rather than the current set-up, in which Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina are the first four to vote.
Only 11 percent of Democrats want to keep the calendar the way it is, while 15 percent said the system should be modified to increase the number of early-voting states. Another 10 percent support grouped state primaries.
Fifty-six percent of Democrats said voters in Iowa and New Hampshire have too much influence in picking the nominee.
The primary calendar has been in focus this year as the Democrats’ largest and most diverse field ever has been whittled down to the top four candidates, who are all white.
There were no people of color on stage at last week’s debate in Des Moines, Iowa, and critics say this is a result of two predominantly white states being the first to cast ballots.
“Most Democratic voters would like to see an overhaul of the primary calendar,” said Murray. “This view appears to be more out of a sense of fairness to the party’s diverse electorate than concerns they might have about the ability of Iowa and New Hampshire voters to properly vet the field.”
The Monmouth University survey of 372 Democrats was conducted between Jan. 16 and Jan. 20 and has a 5.1 percentage point margin of error.
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